2016 Fantasy Football Stats, Trends, and Projections

AP Photo/Darron Cummings

As the season continues to roll on, I decided to take a look at a few interesting fantasy football stats, trends, and projections. Some are just for fun and some are reminders how little is guaranteed in fantasy. For every guy you guessed right on, there’s usually another you botched. That’s half the fun with this chaotic game we play. Here are some of my findings, both good and bad.


Melvin Gordon only has one game with 100 or more total yards.

Melvin Gordon is on pace for 957 rushing yards.

Melvin Gordon is on pace for 22 total touchdowns after scoring zero in 2015.

Matt Ryan is on pace to throw for 5,568 yards this season. The record for passing yards in a season is 5,477.

Andy Dalton is second in the NFL in passing yards and is on pace to throw for 4,809.

Marvin Jones is on pace for 1,660 yards.

Jones is on pace to break his career high in receiving yards before Week 9.

In 2015, Jones averaged 1.66 PPR points per target. Through five games in 2016, he’s averaging 2.36 PPR points per target.

Based on consensus ADP, Matt Ryan was drafted as QB20, Melvin Gordon RB23, and Marvin Jones WR33.


Cam Newton is on track to score 133 less fantasy points this year than last. In 2015, Mike Evans scored 137 points in standard leagues the entire year.

Andrew Luck has the most passing yards lost to penalties (149) and the most pass attempts dropped (12).

Ben Roethlisberger has never thrown more than 32 touchdowns in a season. He’s on pace to throw 48 in 2016.

Since 2008, Drew Brees has never thrown less than 32 touchdowns in a season. Brees is on pace for 40 touchdowns in 2016.

Eli Manning has only thrown for more than 32 touchdowns once in his whole career. That was last year.

Eli is on track to throw 16 touchdowns this season, which would be his worst as a pro.

In his last 11 starts, Brian Hoyer has 2,842 yards, a 20/5 TD to INT ratio, and a 63.7 completion percentage.

In his last 11 starts, Aaron Rodgers has 2,427 yards, a 19/8 TD to INT ratio, and a 57.0 completion percentage.


Todd Gurley has the highest percentage of his teams rushing attempts (78.95%).

Out of 31 RBs with at least 40 carries, Gurley ranks 19th in rushing yards per game, yet he ranks 3rd in carries.

There are six RBs averaging more yards prior to first contact than Gurley is averaging per rush.

Todd Gurley is averaging 0.44 yards before contact and his longest run of the season is 16 yards.

Gurley is on pace for 921 yards rushing this season. Last season, Gurley had 566 yards in his first four games with a full workload.

Lamar Miller’s career high for total touches in a season is 254.

This season, he’s on pace to eclipse that mark in the first quarter of Week 13.

Despite the increased workload, Miller is on pace to score his least fantasy points since 2013.

In 2015, LeSean McCoy rushed for zero or negative yards on 14.3% of his attempts. This year that number is 14.1%.

LeSean McCoy is averaging 5.3 YPC and has three rushing touchdowns in 2016. Last season he averaged 4.4 YPC and had three touchdowns all year.

Ezekiel Elliot is on pace to finish 61 yards shy of Eric Dickerson’s rookie rushing record.

David Johnson, DeMarco Murray, and Ezekiel Elliot are the only players on pace to finish with more than 2,000 all-purpose yards.

David Johnson is on pace to lead the league in all-purpose yards with 2,224.

If Le’Veon Bell played all 16 games, he’d be on pace for 2,656.


In 2015, Odell Beckham scored a TD once every 7.4 receptions. Through the first five games of 2016, he has one touchdown in 27 receptions.

In 2015, Beckham had 14 receptions of 25 yards or more. This season he’s on pace for six.

Sammie Coates already has six this year.

Odell Beckham is the only receiver to play 100% of his teams snaps.

Brandon Marshall leads the NFL in drops with five. Last season Marshall was 4th in drops with ten.

Marshall caught 63% of his targets in 2015. In 2016, he’s caught just 44%.

Antonio Brown is on pace for 118 receptions, 1,430 yards, and 16 touchdowns.

If Brown maintained that 2016 pace, his per game average since the start of 2013 would be 7.7 receptions, 101 yards, 0.7 TD.

Cole Beasley, Tyrell Williams, and Kenny Britt all have more targets this year than Alshon Jeffery.

Alshon Jeffery has the third most targets out of Chicago Bears receivers this season.


In 2011, Rob Gronkowski broke the single-season yardage record for a TE with 1,327.

Greg Olsen is on pace for 1,651 yards this season.

Olsen is averaging 1.82 PPR points per target. At that rate, he’d score 308 PPR points this season.

Jordan Reed is on pace 243 PPR points and was drafted a full round earlier than Olsen in most leagues.


The Vikings’ defense would be the QB8, RB8, WR4, and TE1 in half-point PPR leagues.

Adam Vinatieri would be the QB19, RB15, WR12, and TE3 in half-point PPR leagues.

Tweet me @SSAJMilackNFL with any Fantasy questions regarding start/sit, trades, or just anything on your mind!